What is a TS2 trade set-up ?
A TS2 trade set-up
is where the ABC correction forms as a correction when the main trend is
already well established and has already had an earlier correction. In
Elliott wave terms, this is a Wave 4 correction.
>> This is also an extremely important set-up
because when a Wave 4 correction is complete, the Wave 5 swing is the
last impulsive trend move before the entire Elliott sequence is
completed.
Therefore, the move off a completed Wave 4
correction also presents the trader with the opportunity for a small,
controlled risk in return for a maximized profit potential with the main
trend.
When checking for trade set-ups on individual charts (though most
traders will use the Trade Scanner
on a group of markets), once the chart has been loaded simply click on
the T module button. The
software will analyze the last part of the data file to check whether a
TS1, TS2 or TS3 trade set-up is present:

As an example on the chart above, the high of July 8 2002 has been
identified as a potential TS2 sell set-up in DIA (unit investment trust
based on the Dow Jones Industrials index).
However, this module does not finish its work here. As seen on the
chart above, it is also able to automatically identify the narrow
support or resistance zones where the TS2 trade set-up is most likely to
unfold (eg. the pink rectangle above). For
this, select in the 'Show' function
the 'Typ WPT' (Typical
Wave C Wave Price Target). In addition, this module in MTPredictor is
able to display colour-coded reversal bars, blue
for buy and red for sell (tick
'Trade Setup', again under
'Show'). If using the Trade Scanner on a group of charts, these two
features are pre-ticked on its main page:

A valid trade setup occurs when a blue
or red reversal bar unfolds at a WPT zone
eg. the Typical pink rectangle below. This
is how this combination looks on a chart:

MTPredictor has not only identified the potential TS2 trade set-up,
but also the narrow price resistance area (in pink
) where this TS2 high was most likely to unfold and the
red (sell) reversal bar. A new short
position can be considered if this market trades below the low of the
red (sell) reversal bar.
However, no trade should ever be entered before evaluating its
Risk/Reward outlook. The T module can also analyze
the current type trade set-up (whether displayed manually or found using
the Scanner) to give the most likely future support and resistance zones
and, more importantly, the associated Risk/Reward ratios at all these
future levels (the Analyse function
in the window):

It is a simple but powerful process to automatically calculate, then
display on the chart all the future Wave 5 WPT resistance zones,
including the related Risk/Reward ratios at these levels. In addition,
two extra price levels are calculated and shown on the chart - the price
at which 100% of the Initial $ Risk is covered and the price at which
2-3x the Initial Risk is made (crucial for long-term success):

It can be seen instantly that if DIA declined into the
maximum Wave 5 WPT support zone, it would mean a potential profit of
approximately 9.6x the initial $ risk required to take the trade (and 5x
initial risk at the pink Typical Wave 5
WPT). All this information is available before deciding to take
the trade. Here, this would be an excellent trade to consider.
When displayed on the chart, the information looks like this:

And this is how the trade turned out:

The high on Jul 8 was the very day this Wave 4 correction ended, just
before DIA continued to decline to new lows in a Wave (5) type move. So,
this TS2 trade set-up identified an ideal place to enter short. In fact,
DIA continued to fall, then reversed precisely at the maximum Wave 5 WPT
(as projected on Jul 8) on Jul 24, for a
profit of nearly 8x the initial $ risk (ignoring
slippage and commission).
The TS1, TS2 and TS3 trade set-ups are designed precisely to identify
the end of a correction against the main trend. As such, they represent
the best opportunity to accomplish two main aims:
- Maximize profits by trading in the direction of the main trend
and
- Keep losses small when the trade goes wrong.
These are the two most important elements in a successful trading
approach to the markets.
When monitoring a portfolio of markets, these 3 key trade set-ups
will be identified out of the group by the
Trade Scanner, as mentioned above, saving the
trader precious time for the Risk/Reward analysis process outlined.
Does your current trading system for Elliott wave, online forex
trading program or options trading software allow you to scan for,
identify, evaluate and manage such important trade set-ups ?
If not, then it is time to invest in the MTPREDICTOR 4.0
series!
Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement
Trade at your own risk. The information provided here is of the
nature of a general comment only and neither purports nor intends to be,
specific trading advice. It has been prepared without regard to any
particular person's investment objectives, financial situation and
particular needs. Information should not be considered as an offer or
enticement to buy, sell or trade. You should seek appropriate advice
from your broker, or licensed investment advisor, before taking any
action. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Simulated
performance results contain inherent limitations. Unlike actual
performance records the results may under or over compensate for such
factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that
any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses to those
shown. By purchasing the MTPredictor program, you acknowledge and accept
that all trading decisions are your own sole responsibility, and
MTPredictor Ltd, MTPredictor.com or anybody associated with MTPredictor
Ltd including S. E. Griffiths and A. P. Beckwith cannot be held
responsible for any losses that are incurred as a result. |